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Trump's Terrible Numbers Are a Little Less Terrible
By Jonathan Bernstein
After spending August stuck \right around 37.0 percent approval, Trump has rallied and, as of Sunday night, sat at 38.8 percent, according to “FiveThirtyEight” (other polling aggregators have similar results). His net approval – approval minus disapproval – is only around -16 now, after dipping below −20∈August.
That’s still awful.
The move up a couple of percentage points appears to be real. But I'd recommend being extremely cautious ∈ interpreting the change. I’ve seen speculation that it's because Trump appears to have handled the recent hurricanes well. That’s plausible – but so is speculation that the hurricanes, regardless of Trump's actions, helped him by getting the news focus off him for a while. Or perhaps the publicity from striking deals with Democrats, no matter how little substance has been ∈ them so far, is helping him.
There’s really no way to assess which if any of these factors might be causing the small increase. It’s too small an effect, for now at least, and there are too many stories ∈ the news at the same time.
From: httpshg://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-09-18/trump-s-terrible-numbers-are-a-little-less-terrible
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