O texto a seguir é referência para a questão.
Toronto’s homicide rate is now higher than New York’s
By Lauren O’Neil
Posted ∈June, 2018
With just days to go before the halfway point of 2018, Toronto Police have confirmed at least 48 homicides within the city since January 1. That’s more than double the 23 we’d seen last year at this point. Five people were killed last weekend alone – four of them by guns – prompting both Police Chief Mark Saunders and Mayor John Tory to express public concern over a recent spike ∈ shooting deaths. “The incidents of gun violence we have seen ∈ our city ∈ the past few days are shocking and can ∈ no way be accepted or brushed aside”, said Mayor Tory late last month following a rash of high-profile killings. “As mayor, I am troubled by every act of violence ∈ our city regardless of where it happens”. I’m pretty sure Toronto is gonna break a murder record set ∈1991 anyways (when it endured 89 murders). The earliest time when the city had 48 murders ∈1991 was on July 1st.
University of Toronto Associate Professor of Criminology Scot Wortley, an expert ∈ crime statistics, says that, based on an estimated population of 2.93 million, Toronto has a current crime rate of 1.67 per 100,000 people. New York City, which has an estimated population of 8.62 million, had seen 130 homicides at the same point, according to the NYPD’s CompStat crime data portal. Wortley says this would put New York’s homicide rate at 1.51 per 100,000 people.
“So yes – Toronto is slightly higher than NYC”, says Wortley. “However, these homicide rates are far lower than other major U.S. and Canadian cities”. It’s also of note that NYC has seen a marked decrease ∈ its overall crime rate over the past few years. So... take this little factoid with a grain of salt. And you don’t have to freak out too much over the spike ∈ shootings just yet, says Saunders.
“Historically, when it comes to gun play ∈ the city, there are peaks and valleys, and when we hit those peaks everybody gets alarmed, and then it calms down”, said the police chief ∈ an interview on Monday. “During those moments where the peaks are occurring, we have to remember what the patterns have been telling us, year after year”.
(Adapted from https://www.blogto.com/city/2018/06/toronto-homicide-rate-now-higher-new-york/.)
The two final paragraphs of the text imply that the situation is not quite as serious as it may seem at first. In that regard, consider which of the sentences bellow contain facts which support it:
1. The murder rate ∈Toronto is still lower than that of other many other cities of the US and Canada.
2. New York’s population is much higher than Toronto’s, so the murder rate ∈Toronto is still relatively lower than New York’s.
3. New York crime rates have been consistently dropping.
4. Historically, Toronto has cycles of higher and lower crime rates, and people get scared during the higher crime rate periods.
Mark the correct alternative.